Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 3-0
Nürnberg vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 0
KOL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
HSV
4 - 0
FCN
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCN
2 - 3
BVB
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SCF
2 - 1
FCN
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FCN
0 - 2
WOL
23%
25%
53%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
KAI
1 - 1
AUG
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AUG
1 - 0
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FSV
1 - 1
AUG
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
AUG
2 - 0
MSV
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
STP
3 - 0
AUG
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |