FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
9º
44
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 2
FCL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
HIF
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
OUL
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 0
FCL
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KYR
0 - 1
FCL
5%
11%
84%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 0
SEI
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
HON
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 0
HJK
18%
25%
58%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 1
INT
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |