Goa vs Chennaiyin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
6º
7º
27
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOA
3 - 5
MUM
36%
25%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
DEL
1 - 1
GOA
28%
23%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
GOA
4 - 2
EAS
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GOA
3 - 1
KER
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
GOA
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chennaiyin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
KER
2 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 2
DEL
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
MBS
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |