Erzgebirge Aue vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STU
1 - 2
ERZ
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SVS
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SGF
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SGS
2 - 0
ERZ
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 0
OSN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SVS
0 - 0
VFR
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 0
OSN
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 0
FCN
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
KÖL
1 - 1
VFR
25%
28%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |