Erzgebirge Aue vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 1
RTV
37%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FSV
3 - 1
ERZ
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
KSC
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
3 - 1
ERZ
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SGF
0 - 1
ING
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SGF
2 - 4
STP
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
F95
2 - 1
SGF
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SGF
4 - 0
SGD
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
HSV
1 - 0
SGF
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |