CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
FC Dallas vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Dallas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 1
DAL
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
DAL
2 - 1
SES
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
SES
3 - 0
DAL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
DAL
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 5
DAL
17%
21%
62%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
3 - 5
TAU
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
4 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
ARA
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AVC
0 - 5
ARA
2%
8%
90%
|
70 | 13 | 57 | 0 |