Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Crotone vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
USF
1 - 0
CRO
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 1
SSC
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
0 - 2
CRO
7%
18%
76%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
AUD
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
TAR
77%
17%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
USF
1 - 0
CRO
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
USF
3 - 0
AUD
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
AUD
4 - 1
USF
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
USF
1 - 1
RPO
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
USF
4 - 0
TUR
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |