Crotone vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CRO
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CRO
4 - 2
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
5 - 1
CRO
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAG
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
CRO
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAM
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NAP
3 - 1
BOL
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 0
BOL
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SAS
1 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |