Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Fatih Karagümrük vs Göztepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
IST
4 - 0
FAT
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FAT
2 - 3
UMR
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 1
FAT
49%
27%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FAT
0 - 1
ERZ
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
FAT
4 - 1
BAN
50%
22%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GOZ
2 - 2
FEN
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 1
GOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GOZ
5 - 2
ALT
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
GOZ
1 - 1
YEN
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 1
GOZ
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |