Farense vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 0
FAR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 1
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FAR
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
SCP
10%
19%
71%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
FAR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
VIT
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |