Fano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 1
FAN
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 0
PIN
31%
28%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 2
FAN
10%
19%
71%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
UST
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
FAN
28%
27%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
REC
3 - 1
ASD
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
REC
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
REC
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
VAS
74%
15%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 1
REC
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |