Falcon FC vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
FFC
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 2
SER
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 1
CON
10%
18%
72%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
FFC
81%
12%
6%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
6 - 0
AFP
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
6 - 0
AFP
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AFP
4 - 1
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 4
AFP
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AFP
0 - 2
LAG
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AFP
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |