Fakel vs FC Orenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FAK
0 - 0
KRA
15%
22%
63%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FAK
2 - 0
OLY
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FAK
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 2
FAK
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
FAK
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GAZ
1 - 1
CSK
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TER
4 - 0
GAZ
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GAZ
0 - 2
KRA
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
GAZ
2 - 0
SOC
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GAZ
0 - 2
URA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |