Fakel vs FK Krasnodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
14º
13º
48
3º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GAZ
4 - 1
FAK
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FAK
1 - 1
FCR
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FAK
1 - 2
SPA
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KHI
0 - 0
FAK
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FAK
1 - 1
ZEN
11%
21%
68%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KRA
0 - 1
ZEN
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 2
KRA
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
KRA
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KRA
2 - 3
TER
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
3 - 2
KRA
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |