Exeter City vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
EXE
2 - 3
MID
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EXE
1 - 1
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
EXE
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 2
WIG
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 5
ARS
53%
21%
25%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
WIG
2 - 3
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WIG
2 - 0
STF
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WIG
2 - 0
OXF
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 2
WIG
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
WIG
3 - 3
FLE
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |