Exeter City vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
EXE
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
EXE
2 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EXE
2 - 0
ROC
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
EXE
31%
27%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
EXE
2 - 0
COL
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 0
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
BRO
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
POR
3 - 2
OLD
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |