Excelsior vs Jong AZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
TEL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 1
VOL
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
BOS
3 - 0
ALK
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
ALK
3 - 1
ALM
30%
24%
47%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 1
ALK
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
ALK
3 - 1
FCO
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |