Europa Point vs Mons Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
70%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
4º
5º
28
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 0
EUR
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
EUR
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
1 - 1
COL
49%
19%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EUR
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
0 - 1
MAG
6%
13%
81%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Mons Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GLA
0 - 1
MON
15%
18%
67%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIO
2 - 5
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EUR
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |