Etoile Carouge vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
RAP
1 - 1
ETO
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 0
ETO
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ETO
2 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BIE
3 - 0
ETO
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ETO
0 - 3
CHI
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUG
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
OMO
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 2
KAI
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |