Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 5-0
Estudiantes La Plata vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 3
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
EST
10%
20%
69%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
BEL
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
BSC
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 1
GRE
32%
28%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GOI
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 0
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 3
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 2
COT
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |