Estudiantes de Mérida vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
APC
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
33%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LAR
1 - 2
EST
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
EST
3 - 2
MIN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 1
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MIN
2 - 1
TRU
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 4
APC
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRU
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
YAR
1 - 1
TRU
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |