Estudiantes de Mérida vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
EST
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
TAC
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
EST
4 - 1
DEP
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
UCV
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
MET
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MET
2 - 2
ARA
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 0
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
APC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |