Estudiantes de Mérida vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
65.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
EST
1 - 5
PAL
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
EST
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
MIN
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ANG
2 - 3
EST
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 1
EST
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAS
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 2
SLO
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |