Estudiantes de Mérida vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
LAR
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 2
TAC
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
4 - 2
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 5
CFC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |