Estrela do Norte vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
59.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
NVE
14%
19%
68%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
RVV
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 2
RIO
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
RIO
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 0
DES
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
RIO
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |