AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 2-4
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Khuzestan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
EKU
1 - 1
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
SAB
1 - 2
EKU
40%
29%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
EKU
0 - 0
GOT
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 1
EKU
41%
26%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
FOO
1 - 3
EKU
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 3
ALH
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALH
4 - 3
ALT
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
RAY
3 - 4
ALH
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
ALH
5 - 1
ALN
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ALW
1 - 3
ALH
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |