USA U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
USA
0 - 0
SRB
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USA
2 - 4
ENG
46%
24%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
USA
0 - 4
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 1
USA
38%
23%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 1
NZL
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
38%
25%
38%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 1
VEN
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |