ES Tunis vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 2
ESP
47%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
ASD
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
KSA
0 - 5
ESP
5%
13%
83%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
UKS
0 - 4
ESP
5%
13%
82%
|
72 | 7 | 65 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
EGS
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
ETO
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JSK
0 - 0
BEN
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CLU
2 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
COS
1 - 0
BEN
49%
29%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
STA
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |