Esperança d'Andorra vs Carroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
10º
8º
12
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
INT
4 - 0
ESA
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AME
0 - 5
ESA
54%
21%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 6
SCO
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UES
2 - 0
ESA
63%
21%
15%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 3
ATL
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
AME
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCO
4 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
UES
15%
22%
63%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAC
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |