Spain U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 0
CZE
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SVN
0 - 3
ESP
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 0
ISR
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRO
93%
6%
1%
|
85 | 40 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
HRV
1 - 2
ENG
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
HRV
3 - 2
CHE
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
HRV
4 - 1
TUR
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
PRT
1 - 0
HRV
65%
19%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
HRV
7 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +1 |