Spain U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 2
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
SRB
1 - 1
ESP
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
ISR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
NIR
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NIR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
NIR
2 - 4
GEO
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
NIR
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +1 |