Scotland U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SCO
2 - 1
SRB
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 1
AND
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 15 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 0
SCO
26%
22%
52%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 3
FRA
9%
18%
73%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
5 - 2
KAZ
83%
12%
4%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 2
ITA
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
SUI
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
7 - 0
LIE
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
ITA
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 3
ITA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |