Scotland U19 vs Belgium U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 2
SVN
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NOR
4 - 2
SCO
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 1
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
SCO
7 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
SVN
66%
19%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 0
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
SRB
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 1
BEL
53%
23%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 1
BEL
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |