U21 EC Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 2-4
Scotland U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
ISL
2 - 1
SCO
35%
26%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 1
AUT
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
BLR
1 - 1
SCO
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SCO
1 - 1
SWE
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 2
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
ISL
2 - 1
SCO
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CZE
3 - 1
ISL
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ISL
4 - 1
GER
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
GER
2 - 2
ISL
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 6
ISL
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |