La Equidad vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
EQU
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
EQU
2 - 3
PAS
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 2
EQU
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
EQU
0 - 1
ENV
54%
27%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 3
EQU
23%
29%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 0
MIL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 2
AME
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
JUN
0 - 1
MIL
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ONC
2 - 1
MIL
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 2
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |