Envigado vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
50%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 1
ENV
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 1
LEO
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 1
UNI
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
ENV
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 1
HUI
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
NAC
20%
28%
52%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 0
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |