Elche vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
ELC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 1
ELC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
XER
0 - 0
ELC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 4
ALM
32%
27%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALM
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 2
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 0
ALM
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |