El Salvador SD vs Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 2
SAL
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 2
CBO
25%
20%
56%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
APV
2 - 2
SAL
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 2
CDS
25%
21%
54%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAL
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 2
PER
43%
23%
34%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZCC
2 - 1
PAD
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 2
PAD
77%
14%
9%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 6
CBO
28%
21%
51%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APV
3 - 0
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |