Edgeworth Eagles vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edgeworth Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
EDG
2 - 0
SOU
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
LAM
1 - 2
EDG
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
EDG
0 - 2
ADR
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 2
EDG
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
EDG
3 - 1
HAM
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
MCI
64%
19%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
WPH
0 - 2
MCI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
4 - 1
MCI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -3 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
MCI
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |