EDMF Churra vs Atl. Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 4
YEC
9%
21%
71%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
JUM
0 - 0
CHU
6%
14%
80%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 1
RAA
36%
25%
40%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHU
4 - 0
UDL
61%
22%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PLU
2 - 1
CHU
46%
25%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 1
CDL
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
ASC
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 1
ASC
70%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASC
4 - 2
MAZ
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 1
ASC
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |