EC São José vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
8º
6º
8
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 1
MON
77%
15%
9%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECS
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
ECS
7%
13%
80%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OPE
2 - 0
ECS
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
ISM
4 - 3
ECS
7%
16%
76%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECS
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 0
SAO
42%
30%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
OPE
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAO
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
YPI
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |