EC São José vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
ECS
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 2
ECS
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 2
ECS
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ECS
4 - 1
ALT
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABC
3 - 2
ECS
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
14%
24%
62%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
CAX
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
ARN
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAX
0 - 0
REA
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
REA
1 - 1
CAX
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |