Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
EC São Bernardo vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
CAB
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
BER
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
DES
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LEM
0 - 0
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |