Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-1
Bahía vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 0
BAH
72%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
GOI
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 3
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
ACS
2 - 1
SAN
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |