Bahía vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
BAH
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
BAH
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
AFC
91%
8%
2%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
LON
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
LON
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |