Bahía vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAH
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 1
BAH
34%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATM
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CUI
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOR
22%
27%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 3
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |