EC Avenida vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
55%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ECS
2 - 2
ECA
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
56%
26%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ECA
1 - 2
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
ECA
88%
10%
2%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ECA
0 - 1
AIM
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 0
YPI
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
CAX
2 - 2
JUV
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 1
SLU
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 2
CAX
87%
10%
3%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |