Duque de Caxias vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 2
DUQ
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 4
MAD
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 0
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BON
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 4
MAD
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
12%
20%
69%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAD
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
3 - 1
BOA
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |