Carioca Série B1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Duque de Caxias vs Goytacaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
DUQ
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
DUQ
41%
27%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SFC
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
DUQ
41%
28%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 0
CIG
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
DUQ
31%
27%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 2
GOY
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
2 - 1
NCI
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
GOY
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
GOY
2 - 2
SFC
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |