Dundee vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 1
AIR
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
ICT
1 - 1
DUN
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 1
AYR
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
DUN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
7 - 1
STE
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
ICT
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 3
ROS
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |